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Russian air defence or bird strike: What caused Azerbaijan Airlines flight to crash?

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azerbaijan plane crashes, kazakhastanA drone view shows emergency specialists working at the crash site of an Azerbaijan Airlines passenger plane near the city of Aktau, Kazakhstan December 25, 2024. (Reuters)

A plane crash near Kazakhstan’s Aktau city, which killed 38 passengers on board, was likely caused by Russian anti-aircraft system, the Wall Street Journal has reported. Authorities in Russia and Azerbaijan, however, have offered different reasons for what may have led to the crash, citing preliminary investigations.

The WSJ report cites an alert to airlines by UK-based independent aviation security firm, Osprey Flight Solutions, which states that the flight “was likely shot down by a Russian military air-defence system.” The chief intelligence officer of the firm was also quoted stating the same in an interview. “Video of the wreckage and the circumstances around the airspace security environment in southwest Russia indicates the possibility the aircraft was hit by some form of antiaircraft fire,” said Matt Borie.

The Azerbaijan Airlines flight, carrying 62 passengers and five crew members, was en route to Grozny in Russia from Baku, when it crashed near the Caspian Sea on Wednesday morning.

What happened with Azerbaijan Airlines flight J2-8243? Here’s what we know so far

The Embraer 190 plane had diverted from its planned course to Russia and was attempting an emergency landing 3 kilometers from Aktau.

There are conflicting reports on what caused the plane to attempt an emergency landing.

What Azerbaijan says: President Ilham Aliyev has said that bad weather may have caused the flight to change its path. He added, however, that it was too soon to speculate and an investigation into the matter was underway. Officials said that the black box which records flight data has been recovered and may provide some clues into the incident.

What Russia says: The country’s civil aviation authority, Rosaviatsia, said that preliminary investigation showed that a bird strike may have caused the plane to attempt an emergency landing. However, experts cited by news agency Reuters have cast doubts over this theory. The report states that while collision with birds can cause the pilot to lose control of the plane, it is unlikely to go “wildly off course”.

What Ukraine says: Andriy Kovalenko, a Ukrainian national security official, blamed Russia for the crash in a post on social media platform X. “This morning, an Embraer 190 aircraft of an Azerbaijani airline, flying from Baku to Grozny, was shot down by a Russian air defense system. However, admitting this is inconvenient for everyone, so efforts will be made to cover it up, even the holes in the remaining parts of the aircraft,” he wrote.

azerbaijan plane crashes A drone view shows emergency specialists working at the crash site of an Azerbaijan Airlines passenger plane near the city of Aktau, Kazakhstan December 25, 2024. (Reuters)

The WSJ report cites experts stating that the “perforations in the plane’s tail section” suggest that the crash could have been a result of a “possible missile attack or the work of air defenses”.

Footage circulating on social media and verified by news agencies shows the plane in a steep descent before engulfing into flames as it crashes onto the ground. Another video shows injured survivors being helped out of the wreckage.

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Reports have also indicated that there were drone strikes in two regions next to Chechnya, where Grozny is located, on Wednesday morning.

— with inputs from Wall Street Journal, Reuters and AP

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Federal judge dashes sex cult leader Keith Raniere’s latest bid for new trial

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Keith Raniere, who's serving a 120-year sentence, tried to "manufacture new evidence ... to receive a second bite of the apple," a federal judge wrote.

BROOKLYN (CN) — The ex-leader of an upstate New York cult who branded women he kept as sex "slaves" lost his fourth attempt for a new trial after a federal judge denied his motion claiming federal agents tried to frame him for child pornography.

Keith Raniere billed NXIVM, pronounced "Nexium," as a self-help group, but the organization was shut down in 2018 after its leaders were arrested for operating a secret inner sex ring called DOS or “The Vow.” Women brought into the cult were forced to have sex with Raniere and branded with his initials along their pubic lines, according to trial testimony.

During a six-week trial, witnesses detailed sexual abuse, control and manipulation at the hands of Raniere. He was sentenced to 120 years of prison after being convicted on all seven counts, which included sex trafficking, forced labor and wire fraud. The fraud charge alone included 11 racketeering acts, among them creation and possession of child pornography, conspiracy to commit identity theft and extortion.

In Raniere’s latest motion for a new trial, he claims prosecutors fabricated “files, timestamps, folders and metadata” associated with nude pictures from 2005 of a 15-year-old DOS member named Camila.

He says he didn’t have enough time to examine the metadata evidence before and during trial and claims the government fudged the dates of the images and planted it on his computer.  

But to constitute a new trial, Raniere must prove he has come into new evidence that couldn't have been discovered before or after the trial, and he had been aware of the metadata evidence in the leadup to and during trial, U.S. District Judge Nicholas Garaufis said in an order Monday.

“Mr. Raniere ultimately seeks to have a new trial to challenge evidence that he previously stated he was ready to challenge, that he had the opportunity to challenge, and that he did in fact challenge during his trial,” Garaufis said in his decision.

“The jury found him guilty of the predicate acts at issue so he now attempts to manufacture ‘new evidence’ he argues would lead to his acquittal to receive a second bite at the apple.”

The Bill Clinton appointee added that the government offered to push back the trial date so Raniere could have more time to examine additional evidence related to his child pornography and exploitation charges, including the metadata evidence.

Garaufis quashed Raniere's argument that it was impossible to discover certain evidence, like details of the metadata’s chain of custody, which wasn't included in the government’s evidence and which Raniere claims would have revealed at trial that the government was “tampering” with the data.

“Raniere seeks to circumvent his defense’s ability to inspect and challenge the photographs’ metadata by distinguishing the evidence his defense reviewed from other pieces of evidence… which, to be clear, his defense was also aware of during trial,” Garaufis added.

The motion also failed, the judge said, because Raniere failed to demonstrate that the purported new evidence would result in his acquittal, "or otherwise demonstrate that a new trial is necessary to prevent a manifest injustice.”

Joseph Tully, Raniere's attorney, disagreed with the judge's ruling and said Raniere's defense team provided enough evidence to show the government tampered with the photographs in evidence.

"The judge’s decision here greenlights any prosecutor or corrupt FBI agent to use AI to manufacture false digital evidence, introduce it in the last 3 days of a long trial, allow them to mislabel the evidence so the defense doesn’t know it’s new, and unless the defense can catch the tampering before the end of the trial, no one will ever care that the government cheated to get a conviction. This is an impossible task," Tully, of Tully & Weiss in Martinez, California, said in a statement.

The Second Circuit previously rejected Raniere’s appeal to overturn his conviction.

“[Raniere] principally argues that to qualify as a ‘commercial sex act,’ there must be a monetary or financial component to the ‘thing of value’ that is given or received, and the sexual exploitation must be for profit. We conclude that the statute has no such requirement,” U.S. Circuit Judge Jose A. Cabranes wrote in a 2022 decision for the three-judge panel.

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FBI Agent Accused of Evidence Tampering in NXIVM Case Faces More Misconduct Allegations in OneTaste Case

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I received this email from New York’s most influential publicist. I reprint it here in full.

By Juda Englemayer

OneTaste’s Nicole Daedone and Rachel Cherwitz are set to face trial on January 13th in the Eastern District of New York. The charge is a single count of conspiracy to commit forced labor. But this case, the indictment, and the prosecution’s narrative can be summarized succinctly in the immortal words of Vinny Gambino: “Everything that guy just said is bullshit… Thank you.”

Unlike Hollywood, where fiction often serves as entertainment, this case appears to blur the lines between the two.

Alarmingly, the charges were constructed with input from a producer of the Netflix film Orgasm Inc., which relied heavily on fraudulent journals authored by the Government’s star witness, Ayries Blanck. Even more troubling, these same fabricated journals are being used as key evidence in the trial.

Yesterday, Valerie Bauman, an investigative reporter at Newsweek, published a piece on NXIVM and Keith Raniere’s case, highlighting allegations that FBI agents planted evidence to secure Raniere’s conviction.

While this issue isn’t new—Raniere and his legal team have repeatedly tried to expose it to the EDNY judge and prosecutors —Ms. Bauman neglected to mention a critical fact. The FBI agent accused of tampering with evidence in Raniere’s case is none other than Elliot McGinnis.

McGinnis, the same agent involved in OneTaste’s case, has been accused of:

  • Concealing evidence.
  • Instructing a witness to delete an entire email and social media account.
  • Directing a witness to park evidence in his hands to avoid turning it over to the defense.
  • Using his personal email to collaborate on the very Google Doc journal containing fabricated entries being presented as evidence.

The parallels between these matters show a troubling pattern of misconduct. I have evidence for both NXIVM and OneTaste that McGinnis is a rogue agent, and I can demonstrate that the prosecutors are aware of these issues, yet remain determined to push forward. Equally concerning, the presiding judge—on only her second case—has declined to act on clear, well-documented malfeasance.

This trial should not proceed under these conditions. I urge you to examine this matter closely and consider investigating further. Justice demands scrutiny, and the media’s voice could shed light on a deeply flawed process.

Frank Report has covered the alleged tampering of evidence involving Elliot McGinnis i the NXIVM case for several years.

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New Evidence of Alleged FBI Malfeasance Emerges in Sex Cult Founder's Case

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New evidence has emerged that allegedly shows the FBI manufactured and planted evidence to secure the conviction of NXIVM sex cult founder Keith Raniere, according to the latest appeal for his release.

Raniere was convicted in October 2020 of racketeering, sex trafficking, forced labor conspiracy, and wire fraud conspiracy and was sentenced to 120 years in prison. He was also fined $1.75 million.

If the FBI were shown to have acted improperly, it could have implications beyond the case if Congress investigates, as well being a blow to public trust in an agency that is already expected to face a major shake-up after Donald Trump takes office early next year.

Evidence of government malfeasance, provided in the appeal documents, included more than 100 photos planted across a digital camera memory card and backup hard drive, according to court documents filed in the Second Circuit Court of Appeals Oct. 28 as part of an appeal seeking a new trial. Evidence also included property search records that contained anomalies and improprieties – revealing a staged crime scene, according to court records filed in the Eastern District of New York on Nov. 28 as part of a motion to vacate the original sentence.

"The search of 8 Hale (a property where Raniere had resided) was deliberately and fraudulently staged and that search scene collection photographs were also deliberately staged," wrote Mark Daniel Bowling, a former FBI agent and former agent for the Department of Energy's Office of Inspector General, one of the experts hired by Raniere's legal team.

"Further, I agree that at least four of the nine search team members were complicit in this fraudulent conduct, with two of them as key orchestrators," he added. "During my nearly 20 years in the FBI, I have never seen a search executed with this level of corrupt and illegal behavior," added Bowling referring to the search on March 27, 2018.

The FBI declined comment to Newsweek on the case.

Raniere's legal team has hired seven digital forensic experts, four of whom are former FBI examiners, and a former FBI crime scene and senior evidence technician photographer for the new appeal.

How was Raniere Convicted?

Raniere founded NXIVM as what he called a self-help group in the 1990s and was accused of creating a sex cult known as DOS within the organization. Its female members said they served as "slaves" and "masters." Multiple women testified that they joined DOS after being told it was a "women's empowerment" group. They said they later discovered they would be expected to have sex with Raniere, send him nude photos and have his initials branded onto their bodies.

One piece of evidence was an alleged late discovery, 11 months after the search was conducted, by agents of more than a dozen images of a female that the FBI said was a minor, based on the photo's metadata showing it was taken in 2005, when the female was under age 18. The woman, with the pseudonym Camila, said in a victim impact statement she had a sexual relationship with Raniere.

Within a few weeks of when the photo evidence and child pornography charges were filed, Raniere's five codefendants all took plea deals, making it harder for his defense to argue for his innocence.

What are the Allegations of Malfeasance?

However, the experts now hired by the defense say in a report that the photo metadata had been changed to make it appear that Camila was under 18 when the pictures were taken, while Raniere's lawyers say she was a legal adult when a relationship began.

Raniere's lawyers previously filed a motion for a new trial alleging malfeasance by the FBI on the grounds of the allegedly manufactured photo evidence, which was rejected in April by Judge Nicholas Garaufis of the Eastern District of New York. They filed a new appeal on that case in October.

In its own filing responding to the defense's motion for a hearing on a new trial the government admitted that an unidentified FBI photo technician had accessed critical and unpreserved evidence, which the defense's experts say was an unprecedented act that taints the evidence.

"If he's not a digital forensic examiner, why is he taking a piece of digital forensic evidence and plugging it into his machine?" asked Micah Sturgis, an independent forensics expert and owner of Sturgis Forensics LLC, who reviewed the reports by the seven forensic experts for Newsweek but is not involved in the case. He reviewed the initial and subsequent reports by the former FBI experts for the initial motion for a new trial, and the government's own filing in response to the motion for a new trial which was denied and is now pending appeal.

"I'm sure that violates the FBI policy," Sturgis added. "That would definitely violate any type of local law enforcement policy ... It appears to me that the FBI has altered the images, or they have changed the evidence to fit their narrative."

Sturgis worked as a digital forensic expert for law enforcement for 10 years and was trained by the U.S. Secret Service at the National Computer Forensic Institute. He said he was limited in his assessment because he didn't have access to the original evidence, but he knows the agents who drafted the defense's reports personally and by reputation and he believes them.

Sturgis said he was surprised that the judge didn't give more credence to the report by the former FBI agents as part of the motion for a new trial and alongside the new search findings, in the motion to vacate the original sentence.

"When you've got that and it's being shoved in your face by seven experts, and a judge turns his nose up at it, that entire judicial system needs to be brought into question," he said.

What Happened in the Search?

Kenneth DeNardo, a 23-year veteran of the FBI who worked as a senior evidence technician and photographer for the evidence response team and is now among the experts paid by Raniere's defense said he has "never seen a search with this magnitude of malfeasance."

He alleged that FBI agents had pre-filled the list of personnel on the scene and one agent signed off as several other agents, against agency protocol. He also said that an agent pre-filled the evidence recovery log for the search at 8 Hale before even arriving to conduct the search. FBI protocol requires evidence logs be filled out on site to ensure an accurate real-time record of the search, but this didn't happen at 8 Hale.

"This is evidenced by crossed-out entries on a later page of the log that correspond to items already listed on an earlier page, albeit in a different sequence, revealing a pre-choreographed effort to fit a predetermined narrative rather than the required real-time documentation. This constitutes evidence fabrication," he wrote.

He cites multiple other problems with the search, including the fact that a dog was apparently present (a paw was photographed at the scene), despite never being logged as part of the search. Such oversights are serious violations of protocol that indicate an overall pattern of inaccuracy and falsification, DeNardo said.

He said it appears that FBI agents "choreographed" finding key evidence in an upstairs room right away, instead of starting the search with the first room downstairs, per standard FBI procedure. DeNardo said that agents manufactured a scene on a bookshelf by adding and arranging items including two uncollected books on sex trafficking. DeNardo said he also believes one camera was planted on the scene because it was staged on a countertop and photographed, but never taken into evidence.

Another camera, the one allegedly used to take photos of Camila, was discovered almost a year after the search and has an unknown origin, because it was not clearly visible in any FBI photograph taken on the property, according to DeNardo's report.

The Digital Evidence

The latest court filings also go into more detail outlining what it said were major problems with the digital material that the FBI said it had found within law enforcement's evidence 11 months after the search of the Hale property.

The case against Raniere was built on two key pieces of digital evidence: a camera card and an external hard drive, said J. Richard Kiper, a retired FBI special agent and computer forensic examiner and instructor who produced a report for the defense on the digital forensic evidence.

Prosecutors said that Raniere used the camera and its card to take explicit photographs of women, including of Camile when she was allegedly 15.

But Kiper and the other experts say the camera card was likely altered between April 11, 2019, and June 11, 2019, while in FBI custody.

According to FBI practice, no examination of electronic evidence can take place before a forensic image (exact copy) has been made of the device by the CART (Computer Analysis Response Team) lab. However, on September 19, 2019, an FBI examiner took the camera card out of evidence control for "review" before CART had processed the evidence, according to court documents. This is a major violation of chain-of-custody standards, Kiper said.

On the same day the camera card was accessed without a write-blocker, which meant it could have been manipulated, the experts said.

"Them taking an SD card that's in question, and that's important evidence, and plugging it into a computer that's not write-blocked – that right there is enough, in my opinion, to have tainted everything. If they allow that to happen there, what more have they done?" Sturgis said.

Kiper said that's because there was no write-blocker, it could not be determined what was originally on that memory card.

What's Next?

The FBI has until March 2025 to respond to the filing from Raniere's legal team.

In the meantime, Sturgis says this evidence could have ramifications far beyond Raniere's case, particularly if Congress decides to step in and examine the allegations.

"If the FBI manufactured evidence in this case, then the American people need to be concerned with their freedoms and what can happen to them if they're being investigated by the FBI," he said. "At what point do you lose complete trust in our federal government or our state government or even our local government?"

Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI), the chair of the subcommittee on federal courts, oversight, agency action, and federal rights, declined to comment on the allegations that the FBI had engaged in major malfeasance.

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Christopher Wray Is Reportedly Preparing a Nasty Surprise for Donald Trump and Kash Patel

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Ousted Syrian President Assad granted asylum in Moscow, Russian media says

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